Ep.21 How foreseeable was the Dreamworld accident?

Topics:Divulging our potential conflicts of interest.Hindsight bias.The four different mental processes used in assessing accidents.How the raft ride worked on a good day.The first river raft fatality on record.Various river raft incidents on record.The factors that lead to the accident at Dreamworld.Potential conclusions from this case.Quotes:“When I was reflecting after this incident,  I don’t remember a lot of safety conversation at all.”“There was a number of operational incidents associated with these rides; to do with, kind of, like, spacing and separation of rafts on the ride.”“I think in this particular case, we can almost see the way that hindsight bias is causing the selectivity.”Resources:Coroner's Inquest into Dreamworld IncidentHawkins, S. A., & Hastie, R. (1990). Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. Psychological bulletin, 107(3), 311.Feedback@safetyofwork.com